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India is all set to report a record 3.25 million bales of cotton exports in the just concluded cotton year (2005-06) ending July, mainly due to higher imports by neighboring China. The forecast for the just commenced cotton year (2006-07) beginning August has also been revised up 2,50,000 bales, to 4.25 million bales. In the revised forecasts for India’s cotton demand-supply scenario, the US department of agriculture (USDA) stated that Chinese imports of Indian cotton surged from a total 2,10,000 bales in cotton year 2004-05, to 2.25 million bales through June of 2005-06.
   
  Every month since December 2005, India has been China’s second leading supplier of cotton, behind the US and surpassing Uzbekistan. India’s exports to other markets, including Taiwan, Thailand and Turkey, have also shown a significant increase in recent months
   
 
   
 
Much of the growth in India’s cotton trade can be attributed to increased cotton production during the last three crops. Average production in 2004-05 and 2006-07 is estimated 60% above the average of the three previous years. The increase in production is largely due to higher yields, better cultural practices including a dramatic increase in Bt cotton acreage. Higher yields have supported growers’ returns compared to alternative crops and helped boost area.

The dramatic increase in production has outpaced India’s rapid consumption growth, which has averaged 5% annually since 2001-02. This has led to the shift of India being the second largest importer in 2001-02 to the second largest exporter in 2006-07.
   
 
     
 
 
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